Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.