Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.