Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.