Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.