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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 36.99% | 24.37% | 38.65% |
| Both teams to score 60.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.33% | 42.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% | 65.08% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% | 22.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.32% | 56.68% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% | 22.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% | 55.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% 1-0 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.99% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.65% |