Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.