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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 39.29% | 26.67% | 34.03% |
| Both teams to score 51.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% | 74.78% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% | 26.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% | 61.68% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% | 65.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.29% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.44% Total : 34.03% |