League One
Dec 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carl Piergianni 40' yellowcard
  • Charlie Goode 45' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Phillips 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Doherty 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calum Chambers 82'
  • goal Callum Robinson 85'

Stevenage vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Wigan 0 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 12.30pm
Cardiff 3 - 2 Huddersfield
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Stevenage 39.29%
Draw 26.67%
Cardiff City 34.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.74%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.78%
Under 2.5 53.22%
Over 3.5 25.22%
Under 3.5 74.78%
Over 4.5 11.49%
Under 4.5 88.5%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 73.51%
Under 0.5 26.49%
Over 1.5 38.32%
Under 1.5 61.68%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 70.39%
Under 0.5 29.61%
Over 1.5 34.35%
Under 1.5 65.65%

Score analysis

Stevenage 39.29%
Draw 26.67%
Cardiff City 34.03%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 5.13%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 26.67%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 34.03%