Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.