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Exeter City
League One
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Barnsley

3-0

Niskanen (41'), Wareham (61'), Cole (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Cardiff vs. Exeter
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Barnsley vs. Mansfield
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
40.74% (-0.581 -0.58)24.79% (0.176 0.18)34.47% (0.404 0.4)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.524 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.726 -0.73)44.98% (0.726 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.701 -0.7)67.33% (0.69999999999999 0.7)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.589 -0.59)22.05% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.899 -0.9)55.39% (0.898 0.9)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.107 -0.11)25.37% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.145 -0.14)60.16% (0.144 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 40.74%
    Barnsley 34.47%
    Draw 24.79%
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.74%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.172 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.47%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 40
Barnsley
1-2
Exeter
Trevitt (13'), Magennis (81')
Watts (45')
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Barnsley
Magennis (13', 13')
Caldwell (12')
Nwakali (49'), Keillor-Dunn (58')
McCarthy (11'), McCarthy (11'), Pines (90+1'), Lofthouse (90+3')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
gameweek 30
Barnsley
1-2
Exeter
Aitchison (17'), Cole (30')
Watts (83'), Hartridge (90+2'), Aitchison (90+6')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
gameweek 12
Exeter
0-1
Barnsley

Aitchison (45'), Cole (70')
McAtee (89')
McCart (6'), Styles (45+1')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Exeter
3-1
Barnsley
Stansfield (26'), Kite (49'), Nombe (89' pen.)
Thomas (37')
rhs 2.0


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