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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 40.74% ( | 24.79% ( | 34.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( | 44.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( | 67.33% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( | 22.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% ( | 55.39% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( | 25.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( | 60.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.47% |