League One
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ilmari Niskanen 41' goal
  • Pierce Sweeney 46' yellowcard
  • Pierce Sweeney 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jayden Wareham 61' goal
  • Reece Cole 73' goal
  • yellowcard Patrick Kelly 54'
  • yellowcard Davis Keillor-Dunn 77'

Exeter City vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Barnsley 3 - 2 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Exeter City 40.74% (-0.59)
Draw 24.79% (+0.18)
Barnsley 34.47% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.18% (-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.02% (-0.73)
Under 2.5 44.98% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 32.67% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 67.33% (+0.70)
Over 4.5 16.56% (-0.51)
Under 4.5 83.44% (+0.51)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 77.95% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 22.05% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 44.61% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 55.39% (+0.90)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 74.63% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 25.37% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 39.84% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 60.16% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Exeter City 40.74%
Draw 24.79%
Barnsley 34.47%
Exeter City
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.46% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.59% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
Barnsley
1-2 @ 7.96% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.67% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 5.26% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 3.64% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 34.47%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Kelechi Nwakali 33' yellowcard
  • Mael Durand de Gevigney 42' yellowcard
  • Stephen Humphrys 58' goal
  • goal Ryan Trevitt 13'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 45'
  • goal Josh Magennis 81'
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT St James Park
  • Gary Caldwell 12' yellowcard
  • Josh Magennis 13' goal
  • Josh Magennis 13' goal
  • yellowcard Conor McCarthy 11'
  • yellowcard Conor McCarthy 11'
  • goal Kelechi Nwakali 49'
  • goal Davis Keillor-Dunn 58'
  • yellowcard Donovan Pines 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kyran Lofthouse 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Barry Cotter 58' yellowcard
  • Mael Durand de Gevigney 87' goal
  • goal Jack Aitchison 17'
  • goal Reece Cole 30'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 83'
  • yellowcard Alex Hartridge 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Jack Aitchison 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Jack Aitchison 45' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McCart 6'
  • yellowcard Callum Styles 45'+1'
  • goal John McAtee 89'
League One Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jay Stansfield 26' goal
  • Harry Kite 49' goal
  • Sam Nombe 89' goal
  • goal Bobby Thomas 37'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • goal Jay Stansfield 1'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 48'