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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 37.37% | 25.95% | 36.69% |
| Both teams to score 54.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% | 49.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% | 71.91% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% | 26.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.93% | 61.07% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% | 26.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% | 61.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.69% |