League One
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Conor McCarthy 10' goal
  • Jordan Thorniley 26' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 50' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 59' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 76' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Browne 16'
  • yellowcard Nathan Asiimwe 47'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 85'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 86'

Northampton Town vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Peterborough 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Mansfield
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Northampton Town 33.15% (-1.37)
Draw 26.47% (-0.09)
AFC Wimbledon 40.37% (+1.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.16% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.4% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 52.59% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 25.75% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 74.25% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 11.84% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 88.16% (-0.07)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.13% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 29.87% (+0.82)
Over 1.5 34.04% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 65.96% (+0.99)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 74.38% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 25.62% (-0.85)
Over 1.5 39.49% (+1.14)
Under 1.5 60.51% (-1.14)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 33.15%
Draw 26.47%
AFC Wimbledon 40.37%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.29)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 33.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.47%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 10.42% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 8.57% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 7.1% (+0.31)
1-3 @ 3.89% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.22% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.33% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.1% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.37%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • goal Jon Guthrie 27'
  • goal Ryley Towler 69' (OG)
EFL Cup
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT PTS Academy Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Fraser Horsfall 34' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Csoka 17'
  • yellowcard Aaron Presley 34'
  • goal Anthony Hartigan 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Alex Woodyard 74' yellowcard
  • Joe Pigott 88' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 90'+3' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Fraser Horsfall 12' yellowcard
  • Matthew Warburton 19' goal
  • R. Korboa 31' goal
  • goal Ethan Chislett 1'
  • goal Nesta Guinness-Walker 23'
  • yellowcard Joe Pigott 35'
League One
Feb 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lyle Taylor 10' yellowcard
  • Deji Oshilaja 47' goal
  • goal Matt Grimes 8'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 37'
  • goal Matt Crooks 62'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 66'
  • goal Daniel Powell 72'
  • yellowcard Jordan Turnbull 83'
  • yellowcard Chris Long 90'