AFC Wimbledon
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Stevenage
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Wycombe Wanderers
Northampton Town
League One
Dec 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
AFC Wimbledon

3-1

McCarthy (10'), McGeehan (50', 59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Browne (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Northampton Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, December 19 at 7.45pm in League One
Next Game: Burton Albion vs. Northampton
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, December 19 at 7.45pm in League One
Next Game: AFC Wimbledon vs. Stevenage
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
33.15% (-1.363 -1.36)26.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)40.37% (1.45 1.45)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.121 0.12)52.59% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (0.104 0.1)74.25% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.813 -0.81)29.87% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.992 -0.99)65.96% (0.98999999999999 0.99)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (0.843 0.84)25.62% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (1.133 1.13)60.51% (-1.136 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 33.15%
    AFC Wimbledon 40.37%
    Draw 26.47%
Northampton TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.15%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.301 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.17 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.21 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.088 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.37%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 9
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Northampton
Guthrie (27'), Towler (69' og.)
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Northampton
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Horsfall (34'), Hoskins (85')
Hartigan (90+4')
Csoka (17'), Presley (34')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Northampton
Pigott (88')
Woodyard (74'), Palmer (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 1
Northampton
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Warburton (19'), Korboa (31')
Horsfall (12')
Chislett (1'), Guinness-Walker (23')
Pigott (35')
rhs 2.0


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