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Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
AFC Wimbledon

vs.

Coverage of the League One clash between Northampton Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Northampton Town has a probability of 33.15% and a draw has a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 1-0 (9.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.59%).

Result
Northampton TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
33.15% (-1.363 -1.36)26.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)40.37% (1.45 1.45)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.121 0.12)52.59% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (0.104 0.1)74.25% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.813 -0.81)29.87% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.992 -0.99)65.96% (0.98999999999999 0.99)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (0.843 0.84)25.62% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (1.133 1.13)60.51% (-1.136 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 33.15%
    AFC Wimbledon 40.37%
    Draw 26.47%
Northampton TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.15%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.301 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.17 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.21 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.088 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.37%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 9
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Northampton
Guthrie (27'), Towler (69' og.)
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Northampton
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Horsfall (34'), Hoskins (85')
Hartigan (90+4')
Csoka (17'), Presley (34')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Northampton
Pigott (88')
Woodyard (74'), Palmer (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 1
Northampton
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Warburton (19'), Korboa (31')
Horsfall (12')
Chislett (1'), Guinness-Walker (23')
Pigott (35')