Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.