Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.46% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%) , while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.