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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.46% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%) , while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Exeter City |
| 64.43% | 20.46% | 15.1% |
| Both teams to score 50.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% | 44.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% | 67.22% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.81% | 13.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.1% | 39.9% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.78% | 42.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.38% | 78.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-0 @ 11.42% 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.87% 5-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.97% Total : 64.42% | 1-1 @ 9.73% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.8% 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.1% |