Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.