Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%).