Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 0-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (5.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.