Scottish League Two Gameweek 22
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium

Dumbarton vs Elgin City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Annan 0 - 0 Dumbarton
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Leighton McIntosh

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Elgin 0 - 0 Edinburgh
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Jack Maciver

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Elgin City win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw has a probability of 24.34% and a win for Dumbarton has a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.73%) , while for a Dumbarton win it is 2-1 (5.62%).

Result

Dumbarton 21.6% (-0.14)
Draw 24.34% (-1.09)
Elgin City 54.06% (+1.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.3% (-0.63)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.13% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 19.87% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 58.42% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 41.58% (+0.81)
Over 3.5 36.97% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 63.03% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 23.19% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 76.81% (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Dumbarton 24.4% (-0.67)
Draw 36.54% (+1.02)
Elgin City 39.06% (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Dumbarton 40.46% (-0.68)
No Goal 5.99% (-0.07)
Elgin City 53.55% (+0.75)

Corners

Over 8 65.74% (-1.74)
Equal 8 9.73% (+0.39)
Under 8 24.54% (+1.36)
Over 9 55.19% (-2.00)
Equal 9 10.54% (+0.26)
Under 9 34.26% (+1.73)
Over 10.5 44.64% (-2.11)
Under 10.5 55.36% (+2.11)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 1.5 27.48% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 72.52% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 9.91% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 90.09% (+0.64)
Over 3.5 2.98% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 97.02% (+0.32)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5 82% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 54.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 30.72% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 69.28% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 13.74% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 86.26% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Dumbarton 21.6%
Draw 24.34%
Elgin City 54.04%
Dumbarton
2-1 @ 5.62% (-0.25)
1-0 @ 5.03% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 3.42% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.46% (-0.09)
Total : 21.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.29)
Other @ 0.52% (-0.23)
Total : 24.34%
Elgin City
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 8.83% (+0.40)
0-2 @ 7.58% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 6.37% (+0.33)
0-3 @ 5.46% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.29% (+0.15)
Other @ 13.22% (-0.14)
Total : 54.04%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Two
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Two Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Michael Ruth 37' goal
  • Marc Kelly 54' yellowcard
  • James Graham 89' goal
  • David Wilson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Russell Dingwall 20'
  • goal Ross Draper 28'
  • yellowcard Ross Draper 64'
  • yellowcard Gallagher Lennon 85'
  • yellowcard Mark Gallagher 86'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Borough Briggs
  • Ross Draper 75' yellowcard
  • goal Tony Wallace 45'+2'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 13
Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Ryan Wallace 60' yellowcard
  • Tony Wallace 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Dolzanski 23'
  • yellowcard Robert Jones 42'
  • yellowcard Kenny MacInnes 88'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Borough Briggs
  • Jake Dolzanski 29' yellowcard
  • Connal Ewan 37' goal
  • Liam Harvey 64' goal