Stranraer
Scottish League Two
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Dumbarton

1-1

Russell (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kirkpatrick (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stranraer and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stranraer 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Next Game: Annan vs. Stranraer
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Next Game: Dumbarton vs. Stirling
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
StranraerDrawDumbarton
45.83% (0.342 0.34)23.33% (-0.433 -0.43)30.83% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 61.95% (1.62 1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (2.11 2.11)39.42% (-2.107 -2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (2.17 2.17)61.76% (-2.167 -2.17)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (0.971 0.97)17.53% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (1.662 1.66)48.06% (-1.659 -1.66)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (1.097 1.1)24.87% (-1.095 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (1.501 1.5)59.48% (-1.498 -1.5)
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 45.83%
    Dumbarton 30.83%
    Draw 23.33%
StranraerDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.514 -0.51)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.151 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.217 0.22)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.136 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 45.83%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.182 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.443 -0.44)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2025 3pm
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
gameweek 34
Stranraer
0-0
Dumbarton
Kelly (82'), Healy (90+1')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Stranraer
5-0
Dumbarton
Blair (3' og.), Grant (30'), Forrest (34'), Armour (45+2'), Lang (88')
Ross (22')

Newbury (6'), Crighton (14')
Feb 24, 2024 2pm
gameweek 26
Dumbarton
2-1
Stranraer
Ruth (8'), Wallace (23')
Ross (5')
Grant (90+5')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
gameweek 8
Dumbarton
3-1
Stranraer
Wallace (28'), Wallace (39'), Ruth (56')
Wallace (71'), Shiels (82')
Armour (24')
Robertson (51'), Walker (53'), Orr (71')
rhs 2.0


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