Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.