Stranraer
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 18
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stair Park
Dumbarton

Stranraer
5 - 0
Dumbarton

Blair (3' og.), Grant (30'), Forrest (34'), Armour (45+2'), Lang (88')
Ross (22')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Newbury (6'), Crighton (14')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stranraer and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions
Last Game: Stranraer 0-0 Forfar
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 Peterhead
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
StranraerDrawDumbarton
33.87% (-1.091 -1.09)25.86% (0.362 0.36)40.26% (0.72 0.72)
Both teams to score 54.35% (-1.455 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (-1.781 -1.78)49.87% (1.771 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-1.613 -1.61)71.87% (1.603 1.6)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-1.521 -1.52)28.07% (1.512 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-1.969 -1.97)63.73% (1.96 1.96)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.425 -0.42)24.44% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (-0.599 -0.6)58.88% (0.59 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 33.87%
    Dumbarton 40.26%
    Draw 25.86%
StranraerDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.257 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.481 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.567 0.57)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.321 0.32)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 40.26%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 26
Dumbarton
2-1
Stranraer
Ruth (8'), Wallace (23')
Ross (5')
Grant (90+5')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Dumbarton
3-1
Stranraer
Wallace (28'), Wallace (39'), Ruth (56')
Wallace (71'), Shiels (82')
Armour (24')
Robertson (51'), Walker (53'), Orr (71')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Dumbarton
1-1
Stranraer
Lynch (28')
Grant (25' og.)
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Stranraer
0-2
Dumbarton
MacLean (33'), Buchanan (76')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dumbarton
2-0
Stranraer
Buchanan (45+1'), Garrity (90+2')