Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.