Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

The C&G Systems Stadium

Dumbarton
1 - 4
Rangers

Shiels (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lundstram (35'), Dessers (41'), Tavernier (78' pen.), Wright (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Dumbarton and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 75.48%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Rangers
9.51%	15%	75.48%

Both teams to score 51.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.33%

33.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.5%

55.49%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.95%

44.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83%

80.17%

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.54%

7.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.18%

26.81%

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 9.51%

Rangers 75.47%

Draw 15%

Dumbarton	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 2.87% 1-0 @ 2.69% 2-0 @ 1.1% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.83% Total : 9.51%	1-1 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 3.72% 0-0 @ 3.29% Other @ 1.01% Total : 15%	0-2 @ 11.06% 0-3 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 7.85% 0-4 @ 6.22% 1-4 @ 5.1% 0-5 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-5 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 2.09% 0-6 @ 1.4% 1-6 @ 1.15% 2-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.26% Total : 75.47%