Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 75.48%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.