Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celtic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
| 49.92% ( | 22.37% ( | 27.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.27% ( | 36.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.11% ( | 58.89% ( |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.97% ( | 15.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.49% ( | 43.51% ( |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( | 25.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( | 60.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 5-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 4.14% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.72% |