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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Rangers logo

Hearts
0 - 1
Rangers


Vargas (51'), Cochrane (63'), Forrest (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
(30'), Sima (34')
Yilmaz (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
15.31% (0.036 0.04)19.08% (0.065000000000001 0.07)65.61% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.9% (-0.236 -0.24)38.11% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.63% (-0.251 -0.25)60.37% (0.254 0.25)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.104 -0.1)37.75% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)74.52% (0.102 0.1)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)10.86% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.03% (-0.206 -0.21)34.97% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 15.31%
    Rangers 65.61%
    Draw 19.08%
HeartsDrawRangers
2-1 @ 4.32% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.99% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.31%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.08%
0-2 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.1% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 7.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 7.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 65.61%

How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers

Hearts
23.7%
Draw
10.5%
Rangers
65.8%
38
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
1-3
Rangers
Shankland (81' pen.)
Kingsley (45+3'), Rowles (63'), Devlin (88'), Denholm (90+1')
Kingsley (79')
Tavernier (50' pen., 64'), Wright (55')
Cantwell (29')
Oct 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Rangers
2-1
Hearts
Tavernier (90' pen.), Danilo (90+3')
Lundstram (31')
Shankland (5')
Offiah (15'), Cochrane (72'), Haring (89'), Vargas (90+8'), Forrest (90+7')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Rangers
2-2
Hearts
Cantwell (45+4'), Sakala (47')
McGregor (37'), Yilmaz (55'), Morelos (58')
Shankland (1'), Kuol (90+4')
Naismith (44'), Ginnelly (45+5'), Rowles (63'), Smith (78'), Kuol (90+4')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Hearts
0-3
Rangers
Morelos (9', 68'), Tillman (34')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Rangers
1-0
Hearts
Tillman (66')