Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Rugby Park
Hearts
  • Will Dennis 40' yellowcard
  • Will Dennis 41' yellowcard
  • David Watson 68' yellowcard
  • goal Will Dennis 18' (OG)
  • goal Will Dennis 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Calem Nieuwenhof 79'

Kilmarnock vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Ross County 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 St Johnstone
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 43.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 26% ▲ (+0.02)
Hearts 30.07% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.48% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.63% ▲ (+0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 76.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 23.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 42.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 57.38% ▲ (+0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 68.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 43.92%
Draw 25.99%
Hearts 30.07%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 43.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.99%
Hearts
0-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.07%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Kilmarnock
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
Hearts
  • Bradley Lyons 68' goal
  • goal Jorge Grant 40'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 50'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 60'
  • yellowcard Calem Nieuwenhof 88'
  • goal Alex Lowry 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Hearts
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock
  • Lawrence Shankland 30' yellowcard
  • Cameron Devlin 40' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 67'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 85'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Hearts
  • Danny Armstrong 22' goal
  • Christian Doidge 45' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 7'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Hearts
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Josh Ginnelly 19' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 29' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 89' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
Oct 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Hearts
  • Chris Stokes 47' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 59' goal
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 62'
  • goal Nathaniel Atkinson 90'+4'
Scottish League Cup
Hearts
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock
  • goal Innes Cameron 21'

Form Data

Ross County 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Hibernian 1 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Motherwell
St Johnstone 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Aberdeen
Kilmarnock 3 - 1 Livingston
Hearts 1 - 0 St Johnstone
Motherwell 1 - 2 Hearts
Hearts 1 - 3 Rangers
Hearts 1 - 0 Livingston
Rangers 2 - 1 Hearts
Hearts 1 - 4 Celtic