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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Hearts


Dennis (40'), Dennis (41'), Watson (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dennis (18' og., 18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
43.93% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)26% (0.012 0.01)30.07% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)51.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)73.42% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)23.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)57.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)31.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)67.88% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 43.92%
    Hearts 30.07%
    Draw 25.99%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Kilmarnock
Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hearts
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ginnelly (19'), Shankland (29', 89' pen.)
Taylor (73')
Oct 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hearts
Stokes (47'), Lafferty (59')
Humphrys (62'), Atkinson (90+4')