Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Danny Armstrong 16' goal
  • David Watson 38' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 42' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 50' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 60' goal
  • goal Sean Kelly 35'
  • yellowcard Michael Devlin 38'

Kilmarnock vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Celtic 3 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 48.51% (-0.06)
Draw 25.72% (+0.03)
Livingston 25.77% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.38% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.05% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 52.95% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 25.44% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.55% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 11.64% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.36% (+0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 78.15% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 21.84% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 44.93% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.07% (+0.09)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 64.46% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.53% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 48.5%
Draw 25.71%
Livingston 25.77%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.8% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 48.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.76% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.71%
Livingston
0-1 @ 8.03% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.32% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 25.77%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 48' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 64' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Jon Nouble 10' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 12' goal
  • Stephen Kelly 29' goal
  • goal Christian Doidge 47'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Joe Wright 4' goal
  • Joe Wright 45'+2' goal
  • goal Bruce Anderson 39'
  • goal Sean Kelly 61'
  • goal Chris Stokes 75' (OG)
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cristian Montano 25' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 27, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marvin Bartley 40' yellowcard
  • Nicky Devlin 86' yellowcard
  • Jaze Kabia 89' goal
  • Scott Pittman 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Power 19'
  • yellowcard Brandon Haunstrup 69'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicke Kabamba 8' yellowcard
  • Chris Burke 48' goal
  • Chris Burke 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 47'
  • goal Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 51'
  • yellowcard Julien Serrano 57'
  • goal Scott Robinson 90'+3'