Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St Mirren

Lyons (19')
Cameron (45'), Watson (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Magennis (31' og.)
Baccus (55'), Strain (72'), Olusanya (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hibernian 4-2 St Mirren
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
39.6% ( 0.13)	26.28% ( 0.03)	34.12% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39% (

-0.16)

51.61% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6% (

-0.14)

73.4% (

0.14)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

-0)

25.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54% (

-0)

60.46% (

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.18)

28.76% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.23)

64.61% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 39.6%

St Mirren 34.12%

Draw 26.28%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.6%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.12%