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Ross County
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St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Mirren logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St Mirren

Lyons (19')
Cameron (45'), Watson (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magennis (31' og.)
Baccus (55'), Strain (72'), Olusanya (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Hibernian 4-2 St Mirren
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Kilmarnock 0-3 St Mirren

St Mirren might have suffered a defeat in midweek, but they are likely going to bounce back with an immediate impact in this fixture. Kilmarnock have struggled for victories this season and facing one of the strongest teams in the division could prove to be a difficult task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
39.6% (0.134 0.13) 26.28% (0.032 0.03) 34.12% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.01% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.162 -0.16)51.61% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (-0.141 -0.14)73.4% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.182 -0.18)28.76% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.229 -0.23)64.61% (0.23 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 39.6%
    St Mirren 34.12%
    Draw 26.28%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.6%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Kilmarnock
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
St Mirren
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
St Mirren
0-2
Kilmarnock
Donnelly (18'), Doidge (35')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
Lafferty (8', 62'), Kiltie (81')
Lafferty (34'), Power (61')
McGrath (63'), MacPherson (78'), Quaner (83')
Finlayson (38')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties
Rossi (37'), Kiltie (44'), Millen (101' pen.)
Oakley (66'), Tshibola (90+3'), Dicker (108')
Durmus (25'), Shaughnessy (84'), McGrath (119' pen.)
McCarthy (82'), McAllister (101'), Alnwick (101')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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