Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Kilmarnock
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rugby Park
St Mirren
  • Bradley Lyons 19' goal
  • Innes Cameron 45' yellowcard
  • David Watson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle Magennis 31' (OG)
  • yellowcard Keanu Baccus 55'
  • yellowcard Ryan Strain 72'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 85'

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Dundee 2 - 2 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
St Mirren 1 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 39.6% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 26.28% ▲ (+0.04)
St Mirren 34.12% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.01% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.39% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 51.61% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 26.6% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 73.4% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 12.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.61% ▲ (+0.10)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 74.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.46% ▲ (+0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 71.24% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 28.76% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 35.39% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 64.61% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 39.6%
Draw 26.28%
St Mirren 34.12%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.03% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.12%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
St Mirren
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Kilmarnock
  • goal Liam Donnelly 18'
  • goal Christian Doidge 35'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Kilmarnock
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
St Mirren
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Kilmarnock
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Kilmarnock
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
St Mirren
  • Kyle Lafferty 8' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 34' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 61' yellowcard
  • Kyle Lafferty 62' goal
  • Greg Kiltie 81' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 38'
  • goal Jamie McGrath 63'
  • goal Cameron MacPherson 78'
  • goal Collin Quaner 83'
Scottish Cup
Kilmarnock
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
ET BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
St Mirren
  • Zeno Rossi 37' goal
  • Greg Kiltie 44' goal
  • George Oakley 66' yellowcard
  • Aaron Tshibola 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ross Millen 101' goal
  • Gary Dicker 108' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Durmus 25'
  • yellowcard Conor McCarthy 82'
  • goal Joe Shaughnessy 84'
  • yellowcard Kyle McAllister 101'
  • yellowcard Jak Alnwick 101'
  • goal Jamie McGrath 119'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
St Mirren
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Kyle McAllister 38' goal
  • Jonathan Obika 61' goal
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Tshibola 45'
  • yellowcard Danny Whitehall 65'
  • yellowcard Brandon Haunstrup 66'
  • yellowcard Chris Burke 74'

Form Data

Kilmarnock 1 - 2 Hearts
Dundee 2 - 2 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 2 - 2 Hibernian
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Ross County
Motherwell 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Celtic
Hibernian 4 - 2 St Mirren
St Mirren 1 - 0 Hearts
Motherwell 0 - 1 St Mirren
Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren
St Mirren 2 - 2 Aberdeen
St Mirren 1 - 0 Motherwell