Scottish League Cup | Second Round

Aug 20, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Celtic

Watkins (59')
Watkins (52'), Findlay (67'), Watson (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGregor (50'), Ralston (68')

The Match

Match Report

Holders Celtic are knocked out of the Scottish League Cup after suffering a 1-0 second-round defeat against Kilmarnock at Rugby Park on Sunday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Kilmarnock and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Hearts 0-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Celtic
Sunday, August 13 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Celtic
19.31% ( -0.06)	21.37% ( 0.19)	59.32% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 55.91% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.41% (

-0.95)

41.59% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.01% (

-0.97)

63.99% (

0.98)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

-0.62)

35.23% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

-0.65)

71.98% (

0.66)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.32% (

-0.34)

13.67% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.11% (

-0.69)

40.88% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 19.31%

Celtic 59.32%

Draw 21.37%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.31%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.37%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 6.6% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 59.32%