Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 30' yellowcard
  • Cameron Devlin 40' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 67'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 85'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 90'+5'

Hearts vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
St Johnstone 0 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 5, 2023 5.15pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Rangers
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 35.7% (+0.02)
Draw 25.85% (-0.02)
Kilmarnock 38.45% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.71% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.46% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 49.54% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 28.43% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.57% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.6% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.4% (-0.03)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 73.19% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.81% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.9% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 62.1% (-0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 74.74% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.25% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.01% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Hearts 35.7%
Draw 25.84%
Kilmarnock 38.45%
Hearts
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.07% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 38.45%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Armstrong 22' goal
  • Christian Doidge 45' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 7'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Josh Ginnelly 19' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 29' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 89' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Stokes 47' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 59' goal
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 62'
  • goal Nathaniel Atkinson 90'+4'
Scottish League Cup
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • goal Innes Cameron 21'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Sean Clare 35' yellowcard
  • John Souttar 48' yellowcard
  • Steven Naismith 65' yellowcard
  • Sean Clare 79' goal
  • Andrew Irving 86' yellowcard
  • Craig Halkett 89' goal
  • goal Stuart Findlay 24'
  • goal Chris Burke 38'
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 50'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 52'
  • yellowcard Laurentiu Branescu 78'
  • redcard Laurentiu Branescu 80'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 23, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)
  • Chris Burke 9' goal
  • Eamonn Brophy 14' goal
  • Chris Burke 16' goal
  • Mohamed El Makrini 62' yellowcard