Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
Kilmarnock
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Livingston
  • Kyle Vassell 48' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 64' goal

Kilmarnock vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
Motherwell 2 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
Ross County 2 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jon Nouble

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 56.14% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 22.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Livingston 21.57% ▲ (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.44% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.38% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 42.62% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 3.5 34.97% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 65.02% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 4.5 18.25% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 81.75% ▼ (-0.29)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 84.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 15.02% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 56.49% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 43.5% ▼ (-0.15)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 66.41% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 33.58% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 1.5 29.77% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 70.22% ▼ (-0.45)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 56.14%
Draw 22.29%
Livingston 21.57%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.29%
Livingston
1-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Livingston
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Jon Nouble 10' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 12' goal
  • Stephen Kelly 29' goal
  • goal Christian Doidge 47'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Livingston
  • Joe Wright 4' goal
  • Joe Wright 45'+2' goal
  • goal Bruce Anderson 39'
  • goal Sean Kelly 61'
  • goal Chris Stokes 75' (OG)
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Livingston
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Cristian Montano 25' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Livingston
Jan 27, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Marvin Bartley 40' yellowcard
  • Nicky Devlin 86' yellowcard
  • Jaze Kabia 89' goal
  • Scott Pittman 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Power 19'
  • yellowcard Brandon Haunstrup 69'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Kilmarnock
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Livingston
  • Nicke Kabamba 8' yellowcard
  • Chris Burke 48' goal
  • Chris Burke 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 47'
  • goal Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 51'
  • yellowcard Julien Serrano 57'
  • goal Scott Robinson 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Livingston
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Scott Pittman 11' goal
  • Scott Tiffoney 27' yellowcard
  • Marvin Bartley 66' yellowcard
  • Jon Guthrie 84' yellowcard
  • Efe Ambrose 90' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Tshibola 24'
  • goal Chris Burke 37'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 57'

Form Data

Motherwell 2 - 0 Kilmarnock
St Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 4 Celtic
Aberdeen 2 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 2 - 1 Hearts
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Johnstone
Ross County 2 - 0 Livingston
Dundee Utd 2 - 0 Livingston
Livingston 2 - 0 St Johnstone
Motherwell 3 - 0 Livingston
St Mirren 3 - 0 Livingston
Livingston 2 - 1 Ross County