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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Livingston logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston

Vassell (48'), Armstrong (64' pen.)
Wright (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (49'), Holt (64'), de Lucas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Livingston

All competitions
Last Game: Ross County 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston

 Kilmarnock are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the Premiership and will welcome three home matches in their last four as they attempt to stay in the division. Livingston are a team with little to play for, and we envisage another uninspiring performance from the Livi Lions - even if manager Martindale makes a host of changes to his starting XI. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
56.14% (-0.171 -0.17) 22.29% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.57% (0.201 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.386 0.39)42.62% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.382 0.38)65.02% (-0.381 -0.38)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (0.075999999999993 0.08)15.02% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.49% (0.141 0.14)43.5% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (0.40900000000001 0.41)33.58% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (0.444 0.44)70.22% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 56.14%
    Livingston 21.57%
    Draw 22.29%
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.056 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Livingston

Kilmarnock
100%
Draw
0.0%
Livingston
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Livingston
3-1
Kilmarnock
Nouble (10'), Anderson (12'), Kelly (29')
Penrice (68'), Nouble (75')
Doidge (47')
Armstrong (44'), McKenzie (79')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
2-3
Livingston
Wright (4', 45+2')
Anderson (39'), Kelly (61' pen.), Stokes (75' og.)
Kelly (45')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 8
Livingston
1-0
Kilmarnock
Montano (25')

Mayo (45')
Jan 27, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Livingston
2-0
Kilmarnock
Kabia (89'), Pittman (90')
Bartley (40'), Devlin (86')

Power (19'), Haunstrup (69'), McKenzie (84')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 20
Kilmarnock
1-2
Livingston
Burke (48' pen.)
Kabamba (8'), Burke (90+1')
Emmanuel-Thomas (51'), Robinson (90+3')
Devlin (47'), Serrano (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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