Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Aberdeen
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Luis Lopes 1' goal
  • Luis Lopes 59' goal

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
St Johnstone 0 - 1 Aberdeen
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Luis Lopes

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 2 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result

Aberdeen 61.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Kilmarnock 16.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.95% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 29.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.69% ▲ (+0.05)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 84.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 55.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 44.02% ▲ (+0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 57.79% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 42.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 21.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 78.62% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 61.28%
Draw 21.98%
Kilmarnock 16.73%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 12.12% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 61.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.45%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.98%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.73%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Aberdeen
  • Scott Robinson 31' goal
  • Joe Wright 42' goal
  • goal Matty Kennedy 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Vicente Besuijen 22' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 24' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 45' goal
  • Anthony Stewart 63' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 27'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Aberdeen
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Callum Hendry 21' goal
  • Niall McGinn 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diaguely Dabo 40'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Kilmarnock
Dec 20, 2020 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Aberdeen
  • Aaron Tshibola 76' yellowcard
  • Brandon Haunstrup 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Ryan Hedges 52'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Aberdeen
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Ross McCrorie 16' goal
  • yellowcard Nicke Kabamba 50'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Kilmarnock
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
Aberdeen
  • Eamonn Brophy 17' goal
  • Greg Kiltie 23' goal
  • 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ash Taylor 17'
  • goal Niall McGinn 38'
  • goal Connor McLennan 50'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 64'
  • yellowcard Shaleum Logan 65'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 69'
  • yellowcard Matty Kennedy 80'

Form Data

St Johnstone 0 - 1 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 3 - 0 Hearts
Dundee Utd 1 - 3 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 1 - 0 Livingston
Celtic 4 - 0 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 3 - 1 Motherwell
Kilmarnock 2 - 1 Hearts
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Johnstone
Inverness 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Rangers 3 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Motherwell
Hibernian 2 - 0 Kilmarnock