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Dundee United
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Tannadice Park
Aberdeen logo

Dundee Utd
1 - 3
Aberdeen

McGrath (73' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lopes (56'), McCrorie (80'), Watkins (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee United and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawAberdeen
44.55% (1.166 1.17)24.67% (-0.292 -0.29)30.78% (-0.881 -0.88)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.568 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.929 0.93)45.66% (-0.935 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.878 0.88)67.98% (-0.88499999999999 -0.88)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.91200000000001 0.91)20.58% (-0.919 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (1.424 1.42)53.11% (-1.432 -1.43)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)27.99% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.149 -0.15)63.63% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 44.55%
    Aberdeen 30.78%
    Draw 24.67%
Dundee UnitedDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.195 0.2)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.114 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen

Dundee United
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Aberdeen
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 6pm
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Dundee Utd
4-0
Aberdeen
Behich (41'), Watt (45'), McGrath (73' pen.), McCrorie (82' og.)
McGrath (30')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
1-1
Dundee Utd
Edwards (16' og.)
Bates (3'), Barron (87')
McNulty (4' pen.)
Mulgrew (79'), Smith (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Dundee Utd
1-0
Aberdeen
Harkes (80')
Freeman (4')
Butcher (42')

Ojo (40'), Hedges (40')
Ojo (45')
Aug 1, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
2-0
Dundee Utd
Hayes (27'), Ramirez (51')
Ferguson (59')

Edwards (19'), Butcher (37'), McNeil (58')