Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
63.03% ( 0.01) | 21.06% ( -0) | 15.91% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.09% ( 0) | 45.91% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.78% ( 0) | 68.22% ( -0) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% ( 0) | 13.94% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.6% ( 0.01) | 41.4% ( -0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.23% ( -0.01) | 41.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.77% ( -0.01) | 78.23% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 63.03% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |