Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.