Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 34.03% ( | 27.42% | 38.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% | 77.25% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( | 31.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( | 67.42% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( | 28.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.95% ( | 64.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.54% |