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St Johnstone logo
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St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Hearts logo

St Mirren
1 - 1
Hearts

Strain (4')
Baccus (41'), O'Hara (56')
Fraser (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Snodgrass (49')
McKay (45+2'), Snodgrass (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Hibernian
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Hearts

In a match with permutations at the top end of the table, we expect both sides to battle hard and put on an entertaining spectacle in Paisley. On this occasion, Hearts will win the match by a narrow margin and strengthen their bid for continental qualification in the Scottish Premiership. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
34.03% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.42%38.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8%56.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 34.03%
    Hearts 38.54%
    Draw 27.42%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.54%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
27.3%
Draw
27.3%
Hearts
45.5%
22
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (85')
Main (90+2')
Dennis (86')
Halliday (16'), Boyce (73')
Haring (28'), Baningime (36')
Mar 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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