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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Hibs logo

Hearts
3 - 0
Hibernian

Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')
Smith (52'), Atkinson (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cadden (11'), Bushiri (37'), Campbell (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 2-3 Hearts
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-4 Celtic
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Hibernian

Neither side have proved able to keep the back door shut for long this season, so a frenetic Edinburgh derby is likely to end with both teams on the scoresheet. With home advantage and recent form in their favour, it is Hearts who are set to shade it though - pulling further clear of Hibs in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
44.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 24.4% (0.004999999999999 0) 31.12% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)44.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)66.66% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)20.05% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)52.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 44.47%
    Hibernian 31.12%
    Draw 24.4%
HeartsDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
80.4%
Draw
13.0%
Hibernian
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-1
Hibernian
Halliday (45+1', 58'), Kingsley (47')
Haring (70')
Wright (5')
Doyle-Hayes (45+2'), Mueller (57'), Bushiri (71')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Hibernian
0-0
Hearts

Stevenson (11'), Newell (58')

Moore (12'), Halliday (17'), Devlin (45+1'), Woodburn (90+1')
Sep 12, 2021 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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