Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals

Apr 16, 2022 at 12.15pm UK

Hampden Park

Hearts
2 - 1
Hibernian

Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	38	49	89
3	Hearts	38	10	61
4	Livingston	38	-5	49

Hibernian

Last Six:

Last Game: Hibernian 4-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: Hibernian vs. Clyde
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Motherwell	38	-19	46
7	Hibernian	38	-4	45
8	St Mirren	38	-18	44

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
49.32%	25.47%	25.21%

Both teams to score 50.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.6%

52.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92%

74.07%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74%

21.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82%

54.18%

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29%

35.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52%

72.48%

Score Analysis

Hearts 49.31%

Hibernian 25.21%

Draw 25.46%

Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 9.1% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 49.31%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.82% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.96% Total : 25.21%