| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Rangers | 38 | 49 | 89 |
| 3 | Hearts | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Hearts | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
| 64.16% | 21.2% | 14.64% |
| Both teams to score 46.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% | 48.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% | 70.97% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% | 14.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.43% | 42.57% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.69% | 45.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.82% | 81.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 6.23% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.33% Total : 64.15% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.21% 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-2 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.64% |