Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Livingston in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Livingston.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee United |
| 44.5% | 27.45% | 28.06% |
| Both teams to score 47.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.94% | 58.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.26% | 78.74% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% | 25.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% | 60.98% |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% | 36.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.06% |