Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 42.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.