Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 12.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hearts in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 67.05% | 20.08% | 12.87% |
| Both teams to score 45.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% | 47.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% | 70.14% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% | 13.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.72% | 40.28% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.55% | 47.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.18% | 82.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-0 @ 12.84% 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.62% Total : 67.04% | 1-1 @ 9.52% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.09% | 0-1 @ 4.73% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.83% Total : 12.87% |