Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 43.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 43.61% | 28.63% | 27.75% |
| Both teams to score 43.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.79% | 62.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.11% | 81.89% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% | 28.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% | 64.12% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.05% | 38.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.32% | 75.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.62% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.52% Total : 27.75% |