Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 41.93% | 27.06% | 31.01% |
| Both teams to score 49.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% | 55.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% | 76.67% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% | 26.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% | 61.18% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% | 32.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% | 69.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.01% |