Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
| 44.43% | 27.75% | 27.82% |
| Both teams to score 46.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.77% | 59.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% | 79.65% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% | 26.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% | 61.74% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% | 37.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% | 74.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.82% |