Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 59.57% | 22.33% | 18.11% |
| Both teams to score 50.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% | 47.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% | 69.8% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% | 15.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.44% | 44.57% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% | 40.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% | 76.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 6.11% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.26% Total : 59.56% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.11% |