Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
| 32.91% | 26.65% | 40.44% |
| Both teams to score 51.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% | 53.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% | 74.89% |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% | 25.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% | 60.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.91% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.44% |