Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.