Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 32.51% | 26.63% | 40.86% |
| Both teams to score 51.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.62% | 53.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.09% | 74.91% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% | 30.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% | 66.93% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% | 25.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% | 60.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 2% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.85% |