Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 44.35% | 26.84% | 28.81% |
| Both teams to score 49.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% | 76.68% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% | 24.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.5% | 59.49% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% | 34.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% | 71.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.81% |