Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 37.35% | 28.13% | 34.52% |
| Both teams to score 47.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.22% | 58.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.7% | 79.3% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% | 30.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% | 66.47% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% | 32.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.44% | 68.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.28% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.52% |