Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 35.49%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 2-1 (6.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (13.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 35.49% | 31.56% | 32.95% |
| Both teams to score 38.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.32% | 69.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.97% | 87.03% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% | 37.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.93% | 74.07% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% | 39.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% | 75.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% 2-0 @ 7.1% 2-1 @ 6.66% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.8% Total : 35.49% | 0-0 @ 14.58% 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.55% | 0-1 @ 13.68% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.52% Total : 32.94% |