Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 22.4% | 25.44% | 52.15% |
| Both teams to score 47.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.32% | 54.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% | 76% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% | 39.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% | 76.25% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% | 20.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% | 53.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.15% |