Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hearts |
| 28.22% | 24.85% | 46.93% |
| Both teams to score 55.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% | 69.99% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% | 30.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% | 67.14% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% | 20.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% | 52.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 4.36% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.22% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 4.95% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.92% |