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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stark's Park
Hearts logo

Raith Rovers
0 - 4
Hearts


Mendy (25'), Tumilty (81')
Davidson (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mackay-Steven (11', 73'), Henderson (57'), Naismith (70')
F (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

The home side had defender Iain Davidson sent off when 2-0 down.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawHearts
28.22%24.85%46.93%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2%47.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01%69.99%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14%30.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86%67.14%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58%20.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14%52.86%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 28.22%
    Hearts 46.92%
    Draw 24.85%
Raith RoversDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 6.92%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-2 @ 7.95%
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.67%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.92%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Raith Rovers
0-4
Hearts

Duku (56')
Hendry (40')
Boyce (36'), Henderson (39'), Gnanduillet (84', 90+1')
Smith (18')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
2-3
Raith Rovers
Boyce (58', 90+3')
Naismith (90+1')
Ugwu (5'), Duku (47' pen.), Tumilty (52')
Benedictus (74'), Duku (83'), Spencer (90+9')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Hearts
3-1
Raith Rovers
Wighton (2' pen., 40' pen., 87')
Roberts (56')
Duku (54')
Benedictus (2'), Tait (32'), Davidson (89')
Jul 21, 2018 3pm
Group Stage
Raith Rovers
1-1
Hearts
Hearts win 4-2 on penalties
Nisbet (51')
Davidson (48')
Smith (78')
Jan 25, 2017 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Hearts
4-2
Raith Rovers
Currie (35'), Martin (94'), Walker (105'), Johnsen (114')
Barr (14'), Hardie (100')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk17122333141938
2Livingston1696121101133
3Ayr UnitedAyr1794428171131
4Partick ThistlePartick167541811726
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park177461918125
6Hamilton AcademicalHamilton165382329-618
7Raith Rovers165381521-618
8Greenock MortonMorton163761321-816
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline1743101420-615
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians161312831-236


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