Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 30.24% | 26.9% | 42.86% |
| Both teams to score 49.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.88% | 55.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% | 76.37% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% | 33.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% | 69.77% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% | 25.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.24% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 11.55% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 7.9% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.86% |