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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Inverness CT

Hearts
1 - 0
Inverness

Walker (75')
Ginnelly (6'), Pollock (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gardyne (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 55.61%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
55.61%21.31%23.08%
Both teams to score 62.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.81%36.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.7%58.3%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.97%13.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.42%39.57%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34%28.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52%64.48%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 55.61%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 23.08%
    Draw 21.31%
HeartsDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 7.76%
1-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 4.11%
4-1 @ 3.36%
4-0 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 3.73%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-1 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 23.08%